English

Predicting the Popularity of Reddit Posts with AI

Machine Learning 2021-06-18 v2 Information Retrieval

Abstract

Social media creates crucial mass changes, as popular posts and opinions cast a significant influence on users' decisions and thought processes. For example, the recent Reddit uprising inspired by r/wallstreetbets which had remarkable economic impact was started with a series of posts on the thread. The prediction of posts that may have a notable impact will allow for the preparation of possible following trends. This study aims to develop a machine learning model capable of accurately predicting the popularity of a Reddit post. Specifically, the model is predicting the number of upvotes a post will receive based on its textual content. I experimented with three different models: a baseline linear regression model, a random forest regression model, and a neural network. I collected Reddit post data from an online data set and analyzed the model's performance when trained on a single subreddit and a collection of subreddits. The results showed that the neural network model performed the best when the loss of the models were compared. With the use of a machine learning model to predict social trends through the reaction users have to post, a better picture of the near future can be envisioned.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2106.07380,
  title  = {Predicting the Popularity of Reddit Posts with AI},
  author = {Juno Kim},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2106.07380},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

5 pages, 3 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-24T03:10:24.885Z