English

Predicting Human Lifespan Limits

Populations and Evolution 2009-08-28 v2 Quantitative Methods

Abstract

Recent discoveries show steady improvements in life expectancy during modern decades. Does this support that humans continue to live longer in future? We recently put forward the maximum survival tendency, as found in survival curves of industrialized countries, which is described by extended Weibull model with age-dependent stretched exponent. The maximum survival tendency suggests that human survival dynamics may possess its intrinsic limit, beyond which survival is inevitably forbidden. Based on such tendency, we develop the model and explore the patterns in the maximum lifespan limits from industrialized countries during recent three decades. This analysis strategy is simple and useful to interpret the complicated human survival dynamics.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0908.3503,
  title  = {Predicting Human Lifespan Limits},
  author = {Byung Mook Weon and Jung Ho Je},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0908.3503},
  year   = {2009}
}

Comments

11 pages, 3 figures, 2 tables; Natural Science (in press)

R2 v1 2026-06-21T13:38:32.317Z