Predicting a solar cycle before its onset using a flux transport dynamo model
Solar and Stellar Astrophysics
2018-09-05 v1
Abstract
We begin with a review of the predictions for cycle~24 before its onset. After summarizing the basics of the flux transport dynamo model, we discuss how this model had been used to make a successful prediction of cycle~24, on the assumption that the irregularities of the solar cycle arise due to the fluctuations in the Babcock--Leighton mechanism. We point out that fluctuations in the meridional circulation can be another cause of irregularities in the cycle.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1808.08543,
title = {Predicting a solar cycle before its onset using a flux transport dynamo model},
author = {Arnab Rai Choudhuri},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1808.08543},
year = {2018}
}
Comments
To be published in the Proceedings of IAU Symposium 335: Space Weather of the Heliosphere: Processes and Forecasts