English

Power-Expected-Posterior Priors as Mixtures of g-Priors

Methodology 2020-10-09 v2

Abstract

One of the main approaches used to construct prior distributions for objective Bayes methods is the concept of random imaginary observations. Under this setup, the expected-posterior prior (EPP) offers several advantages, among which it has a nice and simple interpretation and provides an effective way to establish compatibility of priors among models. In this paper, we study the power-expected posterior prior as a generalization to the EPP in objective Bayesian model selection under normal linear models. We prove that it can be represented as a mixture of gg-prior, like a wide range of prior distributions under normal linear models, and thus posterior distributions and Bayes factors are derived in closed form, keeping therefore computational tractability. Comparisons with other mixtures of gg-prior are made and emphasis is given in the posterior distribution of g and its effect on Bayesian model selection and model averaging.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2002.05782,
  title  = {Power-Expected-Posterior Priors as Mixtures of g-Priors},
  author = {Dimitris Fouskakis and Ioannis Ntzoufras},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.05782},
  year   = {2020}
}