Power-Expected-Posterior Priors as Mixtures of g-Priors
Abstract
One of the main approaches used to construct prior distributions for objective Bayes methods is the concept of random imaginary observations. Under this setup, the expected-posterior prior (EPP) offers several advantages, among which it has a nice and simple interpretation and provides an effective way to establish compatibility of priors among models. In this paper, we study the power-expected posterior prior as a generalization to the EPP in objective Bayesian model selection under normal linear models. We prove that it can be represented as a mixture of -prior, like a wide range of prior distributions under normal linear models, and thus posterior distributions and Bayes factors are derived in closed form, keeping therefore computational tractability. Comparisons with other mixtures of -prior are made and emphasis is given in the posterior distribution of g and its effect on Bayesian model selection and model averaging.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2002.05782,
title = {Power-Expected-Posterior Priors as Mixtures of g-Priors},
author = {Dimitris Fouskakis and Ioannis Ntzoufras},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2002.05782},
year = {2020}
}