English

Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Sampling

Econometrics 2021-11-25 v5 Machine Learning Methodology

Abstract

We consider the "policy choice" problem -- otherwise known as best arm identification in the bandit literature -- proposed by Kasy and Sautmann (2021) for adaptive experimental design. Theorem 1 of Kasy and Sautmann (2021) provides three asymptotic results that give theoretical guarantees for exploration sampling developed for this setting. We first show that the proof of Theorem 1 (1) has technical issues, and the proof and statement of Theorem 1 (2) are incorrect. We then show, through a counterexample, that Theorem 1 (3) is false. For the former two, we correct the statements and provide rigorous proofs. For Theorem 1 (3), we propose an alternative objective function, which we call posterior weighted policy regret, and derive the asymptotic optimality of exploration sampling.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2109.08229,
  title  = {Policy Choice and Best Arm Identification: Asymptotic Analysis of Exploration Sampling},
  author = {Kaito Ariu and Masahiro Kato and Junpei Komiyama and Kenichiro McAlinn and Chao Qin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2109.08229},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

Submitted to Econometrica