English

Phase transition for extremes of a stochastic model with long-range dependence and multiplicative noise

Probability 2021-04-19 v2

Abstract

We consider a stochastic process with long-range dependence perturbed by multiplicative noise. The marginal distributions of both the original process and the noise have regularly-varying tails, with tail indices α,α>0\alpha,\alpha'>0, respectively. The original process is taken as the regularly-varying Karlin model, a recently investigated model that has long-range dependence characterized by a memory parameter β(0,1)\beta\in(0,1). We establish limit theorems for the extremes of the model, and reveal a phase transition. In terms of the limit there are three different regimes: signal-dominance regime α<αβ\alpha<\alpha'\beta, noise-dominance regime α>αβ\alpha>\alpha'\beta, and critical regime α=αβ\alpha = \alpha'\beta. As for the proof, we actually establish the same phase-transition phenomena for the so-called Poisson--Karlin model with multiplicative noise defined on generic metric spaces, and apply a Poissonization method to establish the limit theorems for the one-dimensional case as a consequence.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2005.05001,
  title  = {Phase transition for extremes of a stochastic model with long-range dependence and multiplicative noise},
  author = {Olivier Durieu and Yizao Wang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.05001},
  year   = {2021}
}

Comments

29 pages. Major revision with a new title