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OTProf: estimating high-resolution profiles of optical turbulence ($C_n^2$) from reanalysis using deep learning

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics 2026-04-13 v1

Abstract

Accurate high-resolution vertical profiles of optical turbulence (Cn2C_n^2), which reflect local meteorology and topography, are crucial for ground-based optical astronomy and free-space optical communication. However, measuring these profiles or generating them with numerical weather models requires substantial operational or computational effort. In this work, we present OTProf, a deep-learning method that estimates high-resolution Cn2C_n^2 profiles from widely available coarse-resolution ERA5 reanalysis data. We evaluate the approach in the Netherlands and compare it with the commonly used Hufnagel-Valley model. Overall, OTProf reproduces the vertical structure of Cn2C_n^2 more accurately than Hufnagel-Valley and yields more accurate estimates of the Fried parameter r0r_0 and the scintillation index σI2\sigma_I^2. As typical in machine learning, the Cn2C_n^2 predictions are slightly smoothed compared to reference data, especially in cases of rare strong turbulence. This smoothing affects the integrated parameters, sometimes leading to overly optimistic r0r_0 and σI2\sigma_I^2 values. Despite this limitation, OTProf offers a more accurate, efficient, and physically consistent alternative to traditional analytical models and computationally expensive mesoscale models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.09346,
  title  = {OTProf: estimating high-resolution profiles of optical turbulence ($C_n^2$) from reanalysis using deep learning},
  author = {Maximilian Pierzyna and Sukanta Basu and Rudolf Saathof},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.09346},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:02:57.653Z