English

Optimal stopping under adverse nonlinear expectation and related games

Optimization and Control 2015-09-10 v3 Probability Pricing of Securities

Abstract

We study the existence of optimal actions in a zero-sum game infτsupPEP[Xτ]\inf_{\tau}\sup_PE^P[X_{\tau}] between a stopper and a controller choosing a probability measure. This includes the optimal stopping problem infτE(Xτ)\inf_{\tau}\mathcal{E}(X_{\tau}) for a class of sublinear expectations E()\mathcal{E}(\cdot) such as the GG-expectation. We show that the game has a value. Moreover, exploiting the theory of sublinear expectations, we define a nonlinear Snell envelope YY and prove that the first hitting time inf{t:Yt=Xt}\inf\{t:Y_t=X_t\} is an optimal stopping time. The existence of a saddle point is shown under a compactness condition. Finally, the results are applied to the subhedging of American options under volatility uncertainty.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1212.2140,
  title  = {Optimal stopping under adverse nonlinear expectation and related games},
  author = {Marcel Nutz and Jianfeng Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1212.2140},
  year   = {2015}
}

Comments

Published at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/14-AAP1054 in the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)