On training locally adaptive CP
Abstract
We address the problem of making Conformal Prediction (CP) intervals locally adaptive. Most existing methods focus on approximating the object-conditional validity of the intervals by partitioning or re-weighting the calibration set. Our strategy is new and conceptually different. Instead of re-weighting the calibration data, we redefine the conformity measure through a trainable change of variables, , that depends explicitly on the object attributes, . Under certain conditions and if is monotonic in for any , the transformations produce prediction intervals that are guaranteed to be marginally valid and have -dependent sizes. We describe how to parameterize and train to maximize the interval efficiency. Contrary to other CP-aware training methods, the objective function is smooth and can be minimized through standard gradient methods without approximations.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2306.04648,
title = {On training locally adaptive CP},
author = {Nicolo Colombo},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.04648},
year = {2023}
}
Comments
15 pages, 1 table, 1 figure