English

On training locally adaptive CP

Machine Learning 2023-06-09 v1 Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning

Abstract

We address the problem of making Conformal Prediction (CP) intervals locally adaptive. Most existing methods focus on approximating the object-conditional validity of the intervals by partitioning or re-weighting the calibration set. Our strategy is new and conceptually different. Instead of re-weighting the calibration data, we redefine the conformity measure through a trainable change of variables, AϕX(A)A \to \phi_X(A), that depends explicitly on the object attributes, XX. Under certain conditions and if ϕX\phi_X is monotonic in AA for any XX, the transformations produce prediction intervals that are guaranteed to be marginally valid and have XX-dependent sizes. We describe how to parameterize and train ϕX\phi_X to maximize the interval efficiency. Contrary to other CP-aware training methods, the objective function is smooth and can be minimized through standard gradient methods without approximations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2306.04648,
  title  = {On training locally adaptive CP},
  author = {Nicolo Colombo},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.04648},
  year   = {2023}
}

Comments

15 pages, 1 table, 1 figure

R2 v1 2026-06-28T10:59:11.600Z