English

On the usage of randomized p-values in the Schweder-Spjotvoll estimator

Methodology 2020-04-20 v1

Abstract

We are concerned with multiple test problems with composite null hypotheses and the estimation of the proportion π0\pi_{0} of true null hypotheses. The Schweder-Spj\o tvoll estimator π^0\hat{\pi}_0 utilizes marginal pp-values and only works properly if the pp-values that correspond to the true null hypotheses are uniformly distributed on [0,1][0,1] (Uni[0,1]\mathrm{Uni}[0,1]-distributed). In the case of composite null hypotheses, marginal pp-values are usually computed under least favorable parameter configurations (LFCs). Thus, they are stochastically larger than Uni[0,1]\mathrm{Uni}[0,1] under non-LFCs in the null hypotheses. When using these LFC-based pp-values, π^0\hat{\pi}_0 tends to overestimate π0\pi_{0}. We introduce a new way of randomizing pp-values that depends on a tuning parameter c[0,1]c\in[0,1], such that c=0c=0 and c=1c=1 lead to Uni[0,1]\mathrm{Uni}[0,1]-distributed pp-values, which are independent of the data, and to the original LFC-based pp-values, respectively. For a certain value c=cc=c^{\star} the bias of π^0\hat{\pi}_0 is minimized when using our randomized pp-values. This often also entails a smaller mean squared error of the estimator as compared to the usage of the LFC-based pp-values. We analyze these points theoretically, and we demonstrate them numerically in computer simulations under various standard statistical models.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2004.08256,
  title  = {On the usage of randomized p-values in the Schweder-Spjotvoll estimator},
  author = {Anh-Tuan Hoang and Thorsten Dickhaus},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2004.08256},
  year   = {2020}
}