English

On the Optimization of Approximate Control Variates with Parametrically Defined Estimators

Computation 2020-12-07 v1

Abstract

Multi-model Monte Carlo methods, such as multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) and multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC), allow for efficient estimation of the expectation of a quantity of interest given a set of models of varying fidelities. Recently, it was shown that the MLMC and MFMC estimators are both instances of the approximate control variates (ACV) framework [Gorodetsky et al. 2020]. In that same work, it was also shown that hand-tailored ACV estimators could outperform MLMC and MFMC for a variety of model scenarios. Because there is no reason to believe that these hand-tailored estimators are the best among a myriad of possible ACV estimators, a more general approach to estimator construction is pursued in this work. First, a general form of the ACV estimator variance is formulated. Then, the formulation is utilized to generate parametrically-defined estimators. These parametrically-defined estimators allow for an optimization to be pursued over a larger domain of possible ACV estimators. The parametrically-defined estimators are tested on a large set of model scenarios, and it is found that the broader search domain enabled by parametrically-defined estimators leads to greater variance reduction.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2012.02750,
  title  = {On the Optimization of Approximate Control Variates with Parametrically Defined Estimators},
  author = {Geoffrey F. Bomarito and Patrick E. Leser and James E. Warner and William P. Leser},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2012.02750},
  year   = {2020}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T20:44:24.392Z