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On the maximal displacement of subcritical branching random walks with or without killing

Probability 2025-08-22 v1

Abstract

Consider a subcritical branching random walk {Zk}k0\{Z_k\}_{k\geq 0} with offspring distribution {pk}k0\{p_k\}_{k\geq 0} and step size XX. Let MnM_n denote the rightmost position reached by {Zk}k0\{Z_k\}_{k\geq 0} up to generation nn, and define M:=supn0MnM := \sup_{n\geq 0} M_n. In this paper we give asymptotics of tail probability of MM under optimal assumptions k=1(klogk)pk<\sum^{\infty}_{k=1}(k\log k) p_k<\infty and E[XeγX]<\mathbb{E}[Xe^{\gamma X}]<\infty, where γ>0\gamma >0 is a constant such that E[eγX]=1m\mathbb{E}[e^{\gamma X}]=\frac{1}{m} and m=k=0kpk(0,1)m=\sum_{k=0}^\infty kp_k\in (0,1). Moreover, we confirm the conjecture of Neuman and Zheng [Probab. Theory Related Fields. 167 (2017) 1137--1164] by establishing the existence of a critical value mE[XeγX]m\mathbb{E}[X e^{\gamma X}] such that \begin{align*} \lim_{n\to\infty}e^{\gamma cn}\mathbb{P}(M_n\geq cn)= \left\{ \begin{aligned} &\kappa \in(0,1], &c\in\big(0,m\mathbb{E}[Xe^{\gamma X}]\big); &0, &c\in\big(m\mathbb{E}[Xe^{\gamma X}],\infty\big), \end{aligned} \right. \end{align*} where κ\kappa represents the non-zero limit. Finally, we extend these results to the maximal displacement of branching random walks with killing. Interestingly, this limit can be characterized through both the global minimum of a random walk with positive drift and the maximal displacement of the branching random walk without killing.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2508.15156,
  title  = {On the maximal displacement of subcritical branching random walks with or without killing},
  author = {Haojie Hou and Shuxiong Zhang},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.15156},
  year   = {2025}
}

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34 pages