English

On the accuracy of the model predictive control method

Optimization and Control 2025-11-17 v1

Abstract

The paper investigates the accuracy of the Model Predictive Control (MPC) method for finding online approximate optimal feedback control for Bolza type problems on a fixed finite horizon. The predictions for the dynamics, the state measurements, and the solution of the auxiliary open-loop control problems that appear at every step of the MPC method may be inaccurate. The main result provides an error estimate of the MPC-generated solution compared with the optimal open-loop solution of the ``ideal'' problem, where all predictions and measurements are exact. The technique of proving the estimate involves an extension of the notion of strong metric sub-regularity of set-valued maps and utilization of a specific new metric in the control space, which makes the proof non-standard. The result is specialized for two problem classes: coercive problems, and affine problems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.11098,
  title  = {On the accuracy of the model predictive control method},
  author = {Georgi Angelov and Alberto Domínguez Corella and Vladimir Veliov},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.11098},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:37:08.068Z