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On Pairwise Quantile Regression -- Statistical Guarantees and Applications

Machine Learning 2026-07-05 v1 Artificial Intelligence Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition Machine Learning

Abstract

Quantile regression provides a powerful tool for summarizing the conditional distribution of a real valued random variable (r.v.) of interest YY as a function of covariates ZZ in cases where it shows a large dispersion with high probability, going beyond the situation where standard least square regression is informative/predictive. This article aims to extend this methodology to the pairwise case, when the variable to be explained takes the form of a similarity function between two independent observations, such as pixelated ID photos, as input data of biometric systems) and the explanatory variables take the form of a pair of covariates of the observations, such as the age or the hair color. We establish theoretical guarantees for solutions of this statistical learning problem, considered here as empirical minimizers of a pairwise version of the pinball loss. Leveraging sharp concentration results for UU-processes, we prove generalization bounds and identify mild conditions under which fast learning rates can be achieved. Confirming the probabilistic analysis, experiments based on simulation data also provide solid empirical evidence of the validity of the methodology promoted here for pairwise quantile regression. Finally, its usefulness from an application perspective is demonstrated by a detailed study aimed at analyzing errors in similarity scoring for facial recognition.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2607.04431,
  title  = {On Pairwise Quantile Regression -- Statistical Guarantees and Applications},
  author = {Romain Thérézien and Stephan Clémençon and Fantin Girard and Hamza El-Abdouni},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.04431},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

Accepted to UAI 2026