English

On overfitting and post-selection uncertainty assessments

Statistics Theory 2017-12-08 v1 Applications Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

In a regression context, when the relevant subset of explanatory variables is uncertain, it is common to use a data-driven model selection procedure. Classical linear model theory, applied naively to the selected sub-model, may not be valid because it ignores the selected sub-model's dependence on the data. We provide an explanation of this phenomenon, in terms of overfitting, for a class of model selection criteria.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1712.02379,
  title  = {On overfitting and post-selection uncertainty assessments},
  author = {Liang Hong and Todd A. Kuffner and Ryan Martin},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1712.02379},
  year   = {2017}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-22T23:10:19.253Z