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On Nests and Large Components of Random Real Algebraic Curves

Algebraic Geometry 2026-04-21 v1 Probability

Abstract

We develop a variant of the barrier method in order to address questions about topology of Kostlan random real algebraic plane curves. In particular we prove that the expected number of connected components of the curve of length at least O(d1loglogd)\displaystyle{O\left(\sqrt{d^{-1}\log \log d}\right)} grows to infinity with dd, and likewise, the expected number of nests of the curve of depth at least O(loglogd)\displaystyle{O\left(\log\log d\right)} grows to infinity with dd. In another direction, we adapt an LL^{\infty}-norm bound result of Shifmann and Zelditch to subspaces and employ it to obtain a lower bound for the probability that a finite number of points remain all in different components of the complement of a large degree random curve.

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Cite

@article{arxiv.2604.18350,
  title  = {On Nests and Large Components of Random Real Algebraic Curves},
  author = {Ali Ulaş Özgür Kişisel and Turgay Bayraktar},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.18350},
  year   = {2026}
}

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22 pages