On linear series with negative Brill-Noether number

Brill-Noether theory studies the existence and deformations of curves in projective spaces; its basic object of study is $\mathcal{W}^r_{d,g}$, the moduli space of smooth genus $g$ curves with a choice of degree $d$ line bundle having at least $(r+1)$ independent global sections. The Brill-Noether theorem asserts that the map $\mathcal{W}^r_{d,g} \rightarrow \mathcal{M}_g$ is surjective with general fiber dimension given by the number $\rho = g - (r+1)(g-d+r)$, under the hypothesis that $0 \leq \rho \leq g$. One may naturally conjecture that for $\rho < 0$, this map is generically finite onto a subvariety of codimension $-\rho$ in $\mathcal{M}_g$. This conjecture fails in general, but seemingly only when $-\rho$ is large compared to $g$. This paper proves that this conjecture does hold for at least one irreducible component of $\mathcal{W}^r_{d,g}$, under the hypothesis that $0 < -\rho \leq \frac{r}{r+2} g - 3r+3$. We conjecture that this result should hold for all $0 < -\rho \leq g + C$ for some constant $C$, and we give a purely combinatorial conjecture that would imply this stronger result.