On Individual Risk
Applications
2020-04-28 v1 Statistics Theory
Statistics Theory
Abstract
We survey a variety of possible explications of the term "Individual Risk." These in turn are based on a variety of interpretations of "Probability," including Classical, Enumerative, Frequency, Formal, Metaphysical, Personal, Propensity, Chance and Logical conceptions of Probability, which we review and compare. We distinguish between "groupist" and "individualist" understandings of Probability, and explore both "group to individual" (G2i) and "individual to group" (i2G) approaches to characterising Individual Risk. Although in the end that concept remains subtle and elusive, some pragmatic suggestions for progress are made.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1406.5540,
title = {On Individual Risk},
author = {A. Philip Dawid},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1406.5540},
year = {2020}
}
Comments
31 pages