English

On a class of multiplicative Lindley-type recursions with Markov-modulated dependencies

Probability 2025-08-29 v1

Abstract

In this paper, we study Markov-modulated dependencies for the multiplicative Lindley's recursion Wn+1=[VnWn+Yn(Vn)]+W_{n+1}=[V_{n}W_{n}+Y_{n}(V_{n})]^{+}, where Yn(Vn)Y_{n}(V_{n}) may depend on VnV_{n}, and can be written as the difference of two nonnegative random variables that also depend on a common background discrete-time Markov chain {Zn}nN\{Z_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}. Given the state of the background Markov chain, we consider two cases: a) VnV_{n} equals either 1, or a(0,1)a\in(0,1), or it is negative with certain probabilities, and Yn(Vn):=Yn=SnAn+1Y_{n}(V_{n}):=Y_{n}=S_{n}-A_{n+1}, where both AnA_n and SnS_n have a rational Laplace-Stieltjes transform (LST). b) VnV_{n} equals 11 or 1-1 according to certain probabilities, and Yn(Vn)Y_{n}(V_{n}) follow a more general scheme, dependent on VnV_{n}. In both cases, we derive the LST of the stationary transform vector of {Wn}nN0\{W_{n}\}_{n\in\mathbb{N}_{0}}. In the second case, we also provide a recursive approach to obtain the steady-state moments and investigate its asymptotic behavior. A simple numerical example illustrates the theoretical findings.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2508.20495,
  title  = {On a class of multiplicative Lindley-type recursions with Markov-modulated dependencies},
  author = {Ioannis Dimitriou},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.20495},
  year   = {2025}
}