English

Observation uncertainty effects on the precision of interior planetary parameters

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics 2024-05-08 v1

Abstract

Determining compositions of low-mass exoplanets is essential in understanding their origins. The certainty by which masses and radius are measured affects our ability to discern planets that are rocky or volatile rich. In this study, we aim to determine sound observational strategies to avoid diminishing returns. We quantify how uncertainties in mass, radius and model assumptions propagate into errors in inferred compositions of rocky and water planets. For a target error in a planet's iron-mass fraction or water content, we calculate the corresponding required accuracies in radius and mass. For instance, a rocky planet with a known radius error of 2% (corresponding to TESS detection best errors) demands mass precision to be at 5-11% to attain a 8 wt% precision in iron-mass fraction, regardless of mass. Similarly, a water world of equal radius precision requires 9-20% mass precision to confine the water content within a 10 wt% margin. Lighter planets are more difficult to constrain, especially water-rich versus water-poor worlds. Studying Earth as an exoplanet, we find a ±5\sim \pm5 point "error floor" in iron-mass fraction and ±7\sim \pm7 in core-mass fraction from our lack of knowledge on mineralogy. The results presented here can quickly guide observing strategies to maximize insights into small exoplanet compositions while avoiding over-observing.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2405.03860,
  title  = {Observation uncertainty effects on the precision of interior planetary parameters},
  author = {Mykhaylo Plotnykov and Diana Valencia},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2405.03860},
  year   = {2024}
}

Comments

13 pages, 8 figures, published in MNRAS

R2 v1 2026-06-28T16:18:44.108Z