English

NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting

Machine Learning 2026-05-11 v1

Abstract

Multivariate time series forecasting remains a challenge due to the complexity of local temporal dynamics and global dependencies across multiple variables. In this paper, we propose \textbf{N}eighboring \textbf{P}atching \textbf{Mixer} (\textbf{NPMixer}), a hierarchical architecture featuring a Learnable Stationary Wavelet Transform that adaptively learns filter coefficients to decompose signals into trend and detail components in a data-dependent manner. Our framework introduces a Neighboring Mixer Block that captures local temporal dynamics through a series of hierarchical MLP layers operating on non-overlapping patches. Specifically, the mixer block utilizes MLPs to learn temporal patterns within and across these patches, expanding the receptive field to capture multi-scale dependencies. A Channel-Mixing Encoder is applied to high-frequency components to learn channel correlations while preserving the stability of the underlying global trend. Extensive experiments on seven benchmark datasets demonstrate that NPMixer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art models, achieving better performance in 20 out of 28 (71.4%71.4\%) evaluated experimental setups for MSE.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2605.07476,
  title  = {NPMixer: Hierarchical Neighboring Patch Mixing for Time Series Forecasting},
  author = {Jung Min Choi and Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi and Lars Schmidt-Thieme},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.07476},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T12:57:19.062Z