English

Normal approximation for mixtures of normal distributions and the evolution of phenotypic traits

Probability 2020-08-07 v2 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

An explicit bound is given for the Kolmogorov distance between a mixture of normal distributions and a normal distribution with properly chosen parameter values. A random variable X has a mixture of normal distributions if its conditional distribution given some sigma-algebra is normal. The bound depends only on the first two moments of the first two conditional moments of X given this sigma-algebra. As an application, the Yule-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model, used in the field of phylogenetic comparative methods, is considered. A bound is derived for the Kolmogorov distance between the distribution of the average value of a phenotypic trait over n related species and a normal distribution. The bound goes to 0 as n goes to infinity, extending earlier limit theorems by Bartoszek and Sagitov.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1912.03561,
  title  = {Normal approximation for mixtures of normal distributions and the evolution of phenotypic traits},
  author = {Krzysztof Bartoszek and Torkel Erhardsson},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1912.03561},
  year   = {2020}
}