Non-Markovian stochastic epidemics in extremely heterogeneous populations
Populations and Evolution
2014-03-13 v1 Probability
Abstract
A feature often observed in epidemiological networks is significant heterogeneity in degree. A popular modelling approach to this has been to consider large populations with highly heterogeneous discrete contact rates. This paper defines an individual-level non-Markovian stochastic process that converges on standard ODE models of such populations in the appropriate asymptotic limit. A generalised Sellke construction is derived for this model, and this is then used to consider final outcomes in the case where heterogeneity follows a truncated Zipf distribution.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1403.2878,
title = {Non-Markovian stochastic epidemics in extremely heterogeneous populations},
author = {Thomas House},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1403.2878},
year = {2014}
}
Comments
10 pages, 1 figure