English

Non-Markovian stochastic epidemics in extremely heterogeneous populations

Populations and Evolution 2014-03-13 v1 Probability

Abstract

A feature often observed in epidemiological networks is significant heterogeneity in degree. A popular modelling approach to this has been to consider large populations with highly heterogeneous discrete contact rates. This paper defines an individual-level non-Markovian stochastic process that converges on standard ODE models of such populations in the appropriate asymptotic limit. A generalised Sellke construction is derived for this model, and this is then used to consider final outcomes in the case where heterogeneity follows a truncated Zipf distribution.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1403.2878,
  title  = {Non-Markovian stochastic epidemics in extremely heterogeneous populations},
  author = {Thomas House},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1403.2878},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

10 pages, 1 figure