Neumann-series corrections for regression adjustment in randomized experiments
Abstract
We study average treatment effect (ATE) estimation under complete randomization with many covariates in a design-based, finite-population framework. In randomized experiments, regression adjustment can improve precision of estimators using covariates, without requiring a correctly specified outcome model. However, existing design-based analyses establish asymptotic normality only up to , extendable to with a single de-biasing. We introduce a novel theoretical perspective on the asymptotic properties of regression adjustment through a Neumann-series decomposition, yielding a systematic higher-degree corrections and a refined analysis of regression adjustment. Specifically, for ordinary least squares regression adjustment, the Neumann expansion sharpens analysis of the remainder term, relative to the residual difference-in-means. Under mild leverage regularity, we show that the degree- Neumann-corrected estimator is asymptotically normal whenever , strictly enlarging the admissible growth of . The analysis is purely randomization-based and does not impose any parametric outcome models or super-population assumptions.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2511.08539,
title = {Neumann-series corrections for regression adjustment in randomized experiments},
author = {Dogyoon Song},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.08539},
year = {2025}
}