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Near-Term Self-replicating Probes -- A Concept Design

Popular Physics 2021-08-25 v2 Space Physics

Abstract

Self-replicating probes are spacecraft with the capacity to create copies of themselves. Self-replication would potentially allow for an exponential increase in the number of probes and thereby drastically improve the efficiency of space exploration. Despite this potential, an integrated assessment of self-replicating space probes has not been presented since the 1980s, and it is still unclear how far they are feasible. In this paper, we propose a concept for a partially self-replicating probe for space exploration based on current and near-term technologies, with a focus on small spacecraft. The purpose is to chart a path towards self-replication with near-term benefits, rather than attempting full self-replication. For this reason, components such as microchips and other microelectronic components are brought with the initial probe and are not replicated. We estimate that such a probe would be capable of replicating 70% of its mass. To further increase this percentage, we identify technology gaps that are promising to address. We conclude that small-scale, partially self-replicating probes are feasible near-term. Their benefits would play out in exploration missions requiring roughly more than a dozen of probes.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2005.12303,
  title  = {Near-Term Self-replicating Probes -- A Concept Design},
  author = {Olivia Borgue and Andreas M. Hein},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2005.12303},
  year   = {2021}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T15:48:00.119Z