English

MTBF Model for AVs -- From Perception Errors to Vehicle-Level Failures

Robotics 2022-08-25 v1

Abstract

The development of Automated Vehicles (AVs) is progressing quickly and the first robotaxi services are being deployed worldwide. However, to receive authority certification for mass deployment, manufactures need to justify that their AVs operate safer than human drivers. This in turn creates the need to estimate and model the collision rate (failure rate) of an AV taking all possible errors and driving situations into account. In other words, there is the strong demand for comprehensive Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) models for AVs. In this paper, we will introduce such a generic and scalable model that creates a link between errors in the perception system to vehicle-level failures (collisions). Using this model, we are able to derive requirements for the perception quality based on the desired vehicle-level MTBF or vice versa to obtain an MTBF value given a certain mission profile and perception quality.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2205.02621,
  title  = {MTBF Model for AVs -- From Perception Errors to Vehicle-Level Failures},
  author = {Fabian Oboril and Cornelius Buerkle and Alon Sussmann and Simcha Bitton and Simone Fabris},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.02621},
  year   = {2022}
}

Comments

to be published in the proceedings of the IEEE Intelligent Vehicles Symposium 2022

R2 v1 2026-06-24T11:08:10.345Z