English

Most probable failure scenario in a model power grid with random power demand

Optimization and Control 2013-10-01 v1 Systems and Control

Abstract

We consider a simple system with a local synchronous generator and a load whose power consumption is a random process. The most probable scenario of system failure (synchronization loss) is considered, and it is argued that its knowledge is virtually enough to estimate the probability of failure per unit time. We discuss two numerical methods to obtain the "optimal" evolution leading to failure.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1309.7498,
  title  = {Most probable failure scenario in a model power grid with random power demand},
  author = {Misha Stepanov and Aditya Sundarrajan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1309.7498},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

7 pages, 12 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T01:36:12.892Z