Most plane curves over finite fields are not blocking

A plane curve $C\subset\mathbb{P}^2$ of degree $d$ is called \emph{blocking} if every $\mathbb{F}_q$-line in the plane meets $C$ at some $\mathbb{F}_q$-point. We prove that the proportion of blocking curves among those of degree $d$ is $o(1)$ when $d\geq 2q-1$ and $q \to \infty$. We also show that the same conclusion holds for smooth curves under the somewhat weaker condition $d\geq 3p$ and $d, q \to \infty$. Moreover, the two events in which a random plane curve is smooth and respectively blocking are shown to be asymptotically independent. Extending a classical result on the number of $\mathbb{F}_q$-roots of random polynomials, we find that the limiting distribution of the number of $\mathbb{F}_q$-points in the intersection of a random plane curve and a fixed $\mathbb{F}_q$-line is Poisson with mean $1$. We also present an explicit formula for the proportion of blocking curves involving statistics on the number of $\mathbb{F}_q$-points contained in a union of $k$ lines for $k=1, 2, \ldots, q^2+q+1$.