Modelling pairs of Poissons and binomials with negative correlation
Abstract
Suppose and are given marginals for pairs . I consider the construction , where and are seen as bounded adjustment functions, normalised to have means zero under and . This defines a bivariate distribution for with the specified marginal densities and , with an interval of permissible values of , both positive and negative; in particular, independence corresponds to an innter point in the adjustments parameter region. Applications to bivariate Poisson distributions, allowing both positive and negative correlation, are discussed. As illustration I provide a more accurate and extended analysis of a Poisson pairs dataset, pertaining to competing seeds and plants, for plots of soil, earlier analysed in the well-cited paper Lakshminarayana, Pandit, Rao, Srinivasa (1999). The general apparatus is also shown to work for negatively correlated binomials. Those methods are illustrated in a meta-analysis framework for two-by-two tables across different studies, pertaining to the Audit-C screening questionnaire for alcohol use disorders, where again negative correlation is demonstrated, between , the number of correct `yes', and , the number of correct `no'.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2605.17585,
title = {Modelling pairs of Poissons and binomials with negative correlation},
author = {Nils Lid Hjort},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2605.17585},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
14 pages, 4 figures, 3 tables; Statistical Research Report, Department of Mathematics, University of Oslo, 17 May 2026; submitted for publication