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Modeling Maximum drawdown Records with Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processe in Capital Markets

Risk Management 2025-04-01 v1 Statistics Theory Applications Methodology Statistics Theory

Abstract

We propose to model the records of the maximum Drawdown in capital markets by means a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process (PDMP). We derive statistical results such as the mean and variance that describes the sequence of maximum Drawdown records. In addition, we developed a simulation study and techniques for estimating the parameters governing the stochastic process, using a practical example in the capital market to illustrate the procedure.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2503.23221,
  title  = {Modeling Maximum drawdown Records with Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processe in Capital Markets},
  author = {Rolando Rubilar-Torrealba and Lisandro Fermin and Soledad Torres},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.23221},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

19 pages, 8 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T22:39:12.917Z