English

Meta-Continual Mobility Forecasting for Proactive Handover Prediction

Machine Learning 2025-12-16 v1 Networking and Internet Architecture

Abstract

Short-term mobility forecasting is a core requirement for proactive handover (HO) in cellular networks. Real-world mobility is highly non-stationary: abrupt turns, rapid speed changes, and unpredictable user behavior cause conventional predictors to drift, leading to mistimed or failed handovers. We propose a lightweight meta-continual forecasting framework that integrates a GRU-based predictor, Reptile meta-initialization for fast few-shot adaptation, and an EWMA residual detector that triggers compact online updates only when drift occurs. Evaluated on a reproducible GeoLife and DeepMIMO pipeline, our method achieves 4.46 m ADE and 7.79 m FDE in zero-shot settings, improves few-shot ADE to 3.71 m at 10-shot, and enables recovery from abrupt drift about 2 to 3 times faster than an offline GRU. When applied to downstream HO prediction, the approach improves F1 to 0.83 and AUROC to 0.90, with substantial reductions in missed-HO and ping-pong events. The model is lightweight (128k parameters) and suitable for edge deployment in 5G and 6G systems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2512.11841,
  title  = {Meta-Continual Mobility Forecasting for Proactive Handover Prediction},
  author = {Sasi Vardhan Reddy Mandapati},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2512.11841},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

6 pages, 1 figure

R2 v1 2026-07-01T08:22:38.721Z