MAVIS: system modelling and performance prediction

The MCAO Assisted Visible Imager and Spectrograph (MAVIS) Adaptive Optics Module has very demanding goals to support science in the optical: providing 15% SR in V band on a large FoV of 30arcsec diameter in standard atmospheric conditions at Paranal. It will be able to work in closed loop on up to three natural guide stars down to H=19, providing a sky coverage larger than 50% in the south galactic pole. Such goals and the exploration of a large MCAO system parameters space have required a combination of analytical and end- to-end simulations to assess performance, sky coverage and drive the design. In this work we report baseline performance, statistical sky coverage and parameters sensitivity analysis done in the phase-A instrument study.