Large Order Enumerative Geometry, Black Holes and Black Rings

Exploiting newly available data on Gopakumar-Vafa invariants at high genus for one-parameter hypergeometric Calabi-Yau threefolds, we study numerically the growth of the 5D indices, stable pair (PT) invariants and rank one Donaldson-Thomas (DT) invariants at large charges. For the 5D index $\Omega_{5D}(d,m)$, below a critical value of the angular momentum $m$, we find perfect agreement with the Bekenstein-Hawking-Wald entropy of rotating 5D BMPV black holes, including the subleading correction from 4-derivative interactions. When $m$ exceeds the critical value, the 5D index is instead dominated by black rings with the smallest possible dipole charge. The stable pair invariant $PT(d,m)$, which is determined by 5D indices, has a similar black ring/hole transition at negative $m$ (now interpreted as the D0-brane charge) but surprisingly exhibits two other phase transitions at positive $m$: first, to a plateau and then to a polynomial growth $\sim m^{2d-1}$. In each phase, we derive an approximate expression for the invariant. Finally, the rank one DT invariant $DT(d,m)$ is similar to $PT(d,m)$ at negative $m$, and then transitions to a phase dominated by D0-branes, with entropy of order $m^{2/3}$. Along the way, we determine the fixed genus, large degree behavior of GV invariants (including the overall $g$-dependent constant), extend it to an approximate formula valid also for large $g$, point out the unreasonable effectiveness of a simple PT/MSW relation, and study the growth of topological free energies at fixed degree, confirming a conjecture of Mari\~no.