English

Killed Brownian motion with a prescribed lifetime distribution and models of default

Risk Management 2014-01-16 v3 Probability

Abstract

The inverse first passage time problem asks whether, for a Brownian motion BB and a nonnegative random variable ζ\zeta, there exists a time-varying barrier bb such that P{Bs>b(s),0st}=P{ζ>t}\mathbb{P}\{B_s>b(s),0\leq s\leq t\}=\mathbb{P}\{\zeta>t\}. We study a "smoothed" version of this problem and ask whether there is a "barrier" bb such that E[exp(λ0tψ(Bsb(s))ds)]=P{ζ>t} \mathbb{E}[\exp(-\lambda\int_0^t\psi(B_s-b(s))\,ds)]=\mathbb{P}\{\zeta >t\}, where λ\lambda is a killing rate parameter, and ψ:R[0,1]\psi:\mathbb{R}\to[0,1] is a nonincreasing function. We prove that if ψ\psi is suitably smooth, the function tP{ζ>t}t\mapsto \mathbb{P}\{\zeta>t\} is twice continuously differentiable, and the condition 0<dlogP{ζ>t}dt<λ0<-\frac{d\log\mathbb{P}\{\zeta>t\}}{dt}<\lambda holds for the hazard rate of ζ\zeta, then there exists a unique continuously differentiable function bb solving the smoothed problem. We show how this result leads to flexible models of default for which it is possible to compute expected values of contingent claims.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1111.2976,
  title  = {Killed Brownian motion with a prescribed lifetime distribution and models of default},
  author = {Boris Ettinger and Steven N. Evans and Alexandru Hening},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1111.2976},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/12-AAP902 the Annals of Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)