English

Joint exceedances of random products

Probability 2016-05-13 v2

Abstract

We analyze the joint extremal behavior of nn random products of the form j=1mXjaij,1in,\prod_{j=1}^m X_j^{a_{ij}}, 1 \leq i \leq n, for non-negative, independent regularly varying random variables X1,,XmX_1, \ldots, X_m and general coefficients aijRa_{ij} \in \mathbb{R}. Products of this form appear for example if one observes a linear time series with gamma type innovations at nn points in time. We combine arguments of linear optimization and a generalized concept of regular variation on cones to show that the asymptotic behavior of joint exceedance probabilities of these products is determined by the solution of a linear program related to the matrix A=(aij)\mathbf{A}=(a_{ij}).

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1505.03325,
  title  = {Joint exceedances of random products},
  author = {Anja Janßen and Holger Drees},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1505.03325},
  year   = {2016}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-22T09:33:22.937Z