English

Interpretability in Deep Time Series Models Demands Semantic Alignment

Machine Learning 2026-02-03 v1

Abstract

Deep time series models continue to improve predictive performance, yet their deployment remains limited by their black-box nature. In response, existing interpretability approaches in the field keep focusing on explaining the internal model computations, without addressing whether they align or not with how a human would reason about the studied phenomenon. Instead, we state interpretability in deep time series models should pursue semantic alignment: predictions should be expressed in terms of variables that are meaningful to the end user, mediated by spatial and temporal mechanisms that admit user-dependent constraints. In this paper, we formalize this requirement and require that, once established, semantic alignment must be preserved under temporal evolution: a constraint with no analog in static settings. Provided with this definition, we outline a blueprint for semantically aligned deep time series models, identify properties that support trust, and discuss implications for model design.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.02239,
  title  = {Interpretability in Deep Time Series Models Demands Semantic Alignment},
  author = {Giovanni De Felice and Riccardo D'Elia and Alberto Termine and Pietro Barbiero and Giuseppe Marra and Silvia Santini},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.02239},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:32:07.779Z