English

Inferring the success parameter p of a binomial model from small samples affected by background

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability 2007-05-23 v1 Astrophysics

Abstract

The problem of inferring the binomial parameter p from x successes obtained in n trials is reviewed and extended to take into account the presence of background, that can affect the data in two ways: a) fake successes are due to a background modeled as a Poisson process of known intensity; b) fake trials are due to a background modeled as a Poisson process of known intensity, each trial being characterized by a known success probability p_b.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.physics/0412069,
  title  = {Inferring the success parameter p of a binomial model from small samples affected by background},
  author = {G. D'Agostini},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:physics/0412069},
  year   = {2007}
}

Comments

24 pages, 12 figures. This paper and related work are also available at http://www.roma1.infn.it/~dagos/prob+stat.html

R2 v1 2026-07-22T19:02:10.107Z