Implicit biases in transit models using stellar pseudo-density
Abstract
The transit technique is responsible for the majority of exoplanet discoveries to date. Characterizing these planets involves careful modeling of their transit profiles. A common technique involves expressing the transit duration using a density-like parameter, , often called the "circular density." Most notably, the Kepler project -- the largest analysis of transit lightcurves to date -- adopted a linear prior on . Here, we show that such a prior biases measurements of impact parameter, , due to the non-linear relationship between and transit duration. This bias slightly favors low values () and strongly disfavors high values () unless transit signal-to-noise ratio is sufficient to provide an independent constraint on , a criterion that is not satisfied for the majority of Kepler planets. Planet-to-star radius ratio, , is also biased due to covariance. Consequently, the median Kepler DR25 target suffers a systematic underestimate of . We present a techniques for correcting these biases and for avoiding them in the first place.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2206.03432,
title = {Implicit biases in transit models using stellar pseudo-density},
author = {Gregory J. Gilbert and Mason G. MacDougall and Erik A. Petigura},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2206.03432},
year = {2022}
}
Comments
12 pages, 7 figures, submitted to AAS journals