Impact of the SNe Ia Magnitude Transition at 20 Mpc on Cosmological Parameter Estimation
Abstract
We investigate the impact of a late-time transition in the standardized absolute magnitude on the best-fit values of cosmological parameters using the Pantheon+ dataset. Extending previous analyses which focused on flat CDM, we examine this transition within flat CDM, wCDM, and CPL cosmologies, as well as a model-independent cosmographic expansion, employing both frequentist ( minimization with \textit{AIC}/\textit{BIC}) and Bayesian (MCMC and Nested Sampling) inference frameworks. We confirm that the data consistently favor a step in absolute magnitude of at a characteristic distance of . The inclusion of this transition leads to a statistically significant improvement in the quality of fit and has a distinct impact on parameter estimation: it induces a systematic increase in the inferred Hubble constant of approximately across all tested models. In contrast, we find that the dynamical parameters governing the background expansion, including the matter density and the dark energy equation of state (), remain stable and largely unaffected. These results indicate that the feature acts primarily as a low-redshift calibration shift rather than a modification of the late-time expansion history.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2604.12587,
title = {Impact of the SNe Ia Magnitude Transition at 20 Mpc on Cosmological Parameter Estimation},
author = {Leandros Perivolaropoulos and Chrisostomos-Panagiotis Stamou},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2604.12587},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
21 pages, 11 figures. Accepted in Phys. Rev. D to appear. The numerical analysis files for the reproduction of the figures are available at a GitHub repository (link in the paper)