English

Hypotheses testing and posterior concentration rates for semi-Markov processes

Statistics Theory 2019-06-14 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

In this paper, we adopt a nonparametric Bayesian approach and investigate the asymptotic behavior of the posterior distribution in continuous time and general state space semi-Markov processes. In particular, we obtain posterior concentration rates for semi-Markov kernels. For the purposes of this study, we construct robust statistical tests between Hellinger balls around semi-Markov kernels and present some specifications to particular cases, including discrete-time semi-Markov processes and finite state space Markov processes. The objective of this paper is to provide sufficient conditions on priors and semi-Markov kernels that enable us to establish posterior concentration rates.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1906.05566,
  title  = {Hypotheses testing and posterior concentration rates for semi-Markov processes},
  author = {V Barbu and Ghislaine Gayraud and N. Limnios and I. Votsi},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1906.05566},
  year   = {2019}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-23T09:52:29.320Z