English

HypoSpace: Evaluating LLM Creativity as Set-Valued Hypothesis Generators under Underdetermination

Computation and Language 2026-03-10 v2

Abstract

As language models are increasingly used in scientific workflows, evaluating their ability to propose sets of explanations-not just a single correct answer-becomes critical. Many scientific problems are underdetermined: multiple, mechanistically distinct hypotheses are consistent with the same observations. We introduce HypoSpace, a diagnostic suite that treats LLMs as samplers of finite hypothesis sets and measures three complementary indicators: Validity (precision of proposals consistent with observations), Uniqueness (non-redundancy among proposals), and Recovery (coverage of the enumerated admissible set). We instantiate HypoSpace in three structured domains with deterministic validators and exactly enumerated hypothesis spaces: (i) causal graphs from perturbations, (ii) gravity-constrained 3D voxel reconstruction from top-down projections, and (iii) Boolean genetic interactions. Across instruction-tuned and reasoning-focused models, Validity often remains high while Uniqueness and Recovery degrade as the admissible space grows, revealing mode collapse that is invisible to correctness-only metrics. HypoSpace offers a controlled probe-rather than a leaderboard-for methods that explicitly explore and cover admissible explanation spaces. Code is available at: https://github.com/CTT-Pavilion/_HypoSpace.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.15614,
  title  = {HypoSpace: Evaluating LLM Creativity as Set-Valued Hypothesis Generators under Underdetermination},
  author = {Tingting Chen and Beibei Lin and Zifeng Yuan and Qiran Zou and Hongyu He and Anirudh Goyal and Yew-Soon Ong and Dianbo Liu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.15614},
  year   = {2026}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T06:43:11.133Z