English

Human Mobility in Large Cities as a Proxy for Crime

Physics and Society 2017-02-03 v1 Social and Information Networks

Abstract

We investigate at the subscale of the neighborhoods of a highly populated city the incidence of property crimes in terms of both the resident and the floating population. Our results show that a relevant allometric relation could only be observed between property crimes and floating population. More precisely, the evidence of a superlinear behavior indicates that a disproportional number of property crimes occurs in regions where an increased flow of people takes place in the city. For comparison, we also found that the number of crimes of peace disturbance only correlates well, and in a superlinear fashion too, with the resident population. Our study raises the interesting possibility that the superlinearity observed in previous studies [Bettencourt et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 104, 7301 (2007) and Melo et al., Sci. Rep. 4, 6239 (2014)] for homicides versus population at the city scale could have its origin in the fact that the floating population, and not the resident one, should be taken as the relevant variable determining the intrinsic microdynamical behavior of the system.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1610.09936,
  title  = {Human Mobility in Large Cities as a Proxy for Crime},
  author = {Carlos Caminha and Vasco Furtado and Tarcisio H. C. Pequeno and Caio Ponte and Hygor P. M. Melo and Erneson A. Oliveira and José S. Andrade},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.09936},
  year   = {2017}
}

Comments

17 pages, 8 Figures

R2 v1 2026-06-22T16:37:33.943Z