English

HOFLON: Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimization for Process Start-Up and Grade-Transition Control

Machine Learning 2025-10-07 v1 Systems and Control Systems and Control Machine Learning

Abstract

Start-ups and product grade-changes are critical steps in continuous-process plant operation, because any misstep immediately affects product quality and drives operational losses. These transitions have long relied on manual operation by a handful of expert operators, but the progressive retirement of that workforce is leaving plant owners without the tacit know-how needed to execute them consistently. In the absence of a process model, offline reinforcement learning (RL) promises to capture and even surpass human expertise by mining historical start-up and grade-change logs, yet standard offline RL struggles with distribution shift and value-overestimation whenever a learned policy ventures outside the data envelope. We introduce HOFLON (Hybrid Offline Learning + Online Optimization) to overcome those limitations. Offline, HOFLON learns (i) a latent data manifold that represents the feasible region spanned by past transitions and (ii) a long-horizon Q-critic that predicts the cumulative reward from state-action pairs. Online, it solves a one-step optimization problem that maximizes the Q-critic while penalizing deviations from the learned manifold and excessive rates of change in the manipulated variables. We test HOFLON on two industrial case studies: a polymerization reactor start-up and a paper-machine grade-change problem, and benchmark it against Implicit Q-Learning (IQL), a leading offline-RL algorithm. In both plants HOFLON not only surpasses IQL but also delivers, on average, better cumulative rewards than the best start-up or grade-change observed in the historical data, demonstrating its potential to automate transition operations beyond current expert capability.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2510.03830,
  title  = {HOFLON: Hybrid Offline Learning and Online Optimization for Process Start-Up and Grade-Transition Control},
  author = {Alex Durkin and Jasper Stolte and Mehmet Mercangöz},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2510.03830},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

31 pages, 15 figures, submitted to Computers and Chemical Engineering