English

Guided simulation of conditioned chemical reaction networks

Probability 2025-03-19 v3 Computation

Abstract

Let XX be a chemical reaction process, modeled as a multi-dimensional continuous-time jump process. Assume that at given times 0<t1<<tn0< t_1 < \cdots <t_n, linear combinations vi=LiX(ti),i=1,,nv_i = L_i X(t_i),\, i=1,\dots ,n are observed for given matrices LiL_i. We show how the process that is conditioned on hitting the states v1,,vnv_1,\dots, v_n is obtained by a change of measure on the law of the unconditioned process. This results in an algorithm for obtaining weighted samples from the conditioned process. Our results are illustrated by numerical simulations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2312.04457,
  title  = {Guided simulation of conditioned chemical reaction networks},
  author = {Marc Corstanje and Frank van der Meulen},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.04457},
  year   = {2025}
}