English

G-Brownian Motion and Dynamic Risk Measure under Volatility Uncertainty

Probability 2007-11-20 v1

Abstract

We introduce a new notion of G-normal distributions. This will bring us to a new framework of stochastic calculus of Ito's type (Ito's integral, Ito's formula, Ito's equation) through the corresponding G-Brownian motion. We will also present analytical calculations and some new statistical methods with application to risk analysis in finance under volatility uncertainty. Our basic point of view is: sublinear expectation theory is very like its special situation of linear expectation in the classical probability theory. Under a sublinear expectation space we still can introduce the notion of distributions, of random variables, as well as the notions of joint distributions, marginal distributions, etc. A particularly interesting phenomenon in sublinear situations is that a random variable Y is independent to X does not automatically implies that X is independent to Y. Two important theorems have been proved: The law of large number and the central limit theorem.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.0711.2834,
  title  = {G-Brownian Motion and Dynamic Risk Measure under Volatility Uncertainty},
  author = {Shige Peng},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:0711.2834},
  year   = {2007}
}

Comments

Lecture notes, 114 pages