English

Future developments in cyber risk assessment for the internet of things

Computers and Society 2018-09-17 v1

Abstract

This article is focused on the economic impact assessment of Internet of Things (IoT) and its associated cyber risks vectors and vertices - a reinterpretation of IoT verticals. We adapt to IoT both the Cyber Value at Risk model, a well-established model for measuring the maximum possible loss over a given time period, and the MicroMort model, a widely used model for predicting uncertainty through units of mortality risk. The resulting new IoT MicroMort for calculating IoT risk is tested and validated with real data from the BullGuard's IoT Scanner - over 310,000 scans - and the Garner report on IoT connected devices. Two calculations are developed, the current state of IoT cyber risk and the future forecasts of IoT cyber risk. Our work therefore advances the efforts of integrating cyber risk impact assessments and offer a better understanding of economic impact assessment for IoT cyber risk.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1809.05229,
  title  = {Future developments in cyber risk assessment for the internet of things},
  author = {Petar Radanliev and David Charles De Roure and Razvan Nicolescu and Michael Huth and Rafael Mantilla Montalvo and Stacy Cannady and Peter Burnap},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1809.05229},
  year   = {2018}
}

Comments

http://doi.org/10.1016/J.COMPIND.2018.08.002