Fractional epidemics from quantum loops
Abstract
Classical compartmental models of epidemiology rely on well-mixed, local interaction approximations that fail to capture the heavy-tailed burst dynamics and long-range spatial correlations observed in real-world outbreaks. While fractional calculus is frequently employed to model these anomalous behaviors, fractional operators are introduced phenomenologically. In this work, we demonstrate that fractional space-time epidemic dynamics emerge naturally and rigorously from first principles using a non-equilibrium quantum field theory model. By mapping the stochastic contagion process to a gauge-mediated field theory via the Doi-Peliti formalism, we go beyond the static mean-field approximation to compute the full dynamical one-loop vacuum polarization. We prove that integrating out a dynamically fluctuating host vacuum generates anomalous momentum and frequency scaling. Transitioning back to coordinate space, this derives a coupled space-time fractional integro-differential equations, where the non-linear transmission vertex is governed by parabolic Riesz potentials and Riemann-Liouville time derivatives. We show that in the anomalous regime (), local Debye screening is modified, facilitating L\'evy flight super-spreading and temporal avalanches. Consequently, the effective reproductive number () ceases to be a scalar, transforming into a spectral dispersion relation bounded strictly by the ultraviolet spatial cutoff.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2603.26708,
title = {Fractional epidemics from quantum loops},
author = {Jose Jesus Bernal-Alvarado and David Delepine},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.26708},
year = {2026}
}
Comments
11 pages, 4 figures