English

Fractional epidemics from quantum loops

Statistical Mechanics 2026-03-31 v1 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

Classical compartmental models of epidemiology rely on well-mixed, local interaction approximations that fail to capture the heavy-tailed burst dynamics and long-range spatial correlations observed in real-world outbreaks. While fractional calculus is frequently employed to model these anomalous behaviors, fractional operators are introduced phenomenologically. In this work, we demonstrate that fractional space-time epidemic dynamics emerge naturally and rigorously from first principles using a non-equilibrium quantum field theory model. By mapping the stochastic contagion process to a gauge-mediated field theory via the Doi-Peliti formalism, we go beyond the static mean-field approximation to compute the full dynamical one-loop vacuum polarization. We prove that integrating out a dynamically fluctuating host vacuum generates anomalous momentum and frequency scaling. Transitioning back to coordinate space, this derives a coupled space-time fractional integro-differential equations, where the non-linear transmission vertex is governed by parabolic Riesz potentials and Riemann-Liouville time derivatives. We show that in the anomalous regime (α<2\alpha < 2), local Debye screening is modified, facilitating L\'evy flight super-spreading and temporal avalanches. Consequently, the effective reproductive number (ReffR_{eff}) ceases to be a scalar, transforming into a spectral dispersion relation bounded strictly by the ultraviolet spatial cutoff.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2603.26708,
  title  = {Fractional epidemics from quantum loops},
  author = {Jose Jesus Bernal-Alvarado and David Delepine},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2603.26708},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

11 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T11:41:21.441Z