Fluctuation-based evidence for number--phase dynamics in a frustrated orbital superfluid

Frustrated quantum matter can host intertwined orders rooted in symmetry-related low-energy landscapes, yet static order parameters alone do not reveal how fluctuations are organized among competing configurations. Here we measure mode-resolved shot-to-shot population fluctuations in a $p$-orbital triangular-lattice superfluid with a tunable bias among three valleys. We observe a bias-tuned evolution from enhanced, anticorrelated fluctuations of two minority valleys toward strong confinement of relative-population fluctuations in a selected two-valley stripe phase. The dominant fluctuation structure is captured by an effective canonical model that includes interactions among the condensed modes, supporting a quasi-equilibrium description of the coherent three-valley condensate. Together, the data and model reveal a quantum--thermal regime shaped by pair-tunneling-induced number--phase dynamics, in which relative-phase scrambling softens effective barriers in the minority-valley regime, while phase rigidity gives rise to macroscopic harmonic confinement in the stripe phase. Our results establish mode-resolved fluctuation measurements as a probe of hidden number--phase back-action in frustrated quantum fluids.