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Extrapolation Problem for Continuous Time Periodically Correlated Isotropic Random Fields

Statistics Theory 2025-11-05 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

The problem of optimal linear estimation of functionals depending on the unknown values of a random field ζ(t,x)\zeta(t,x), which is mean-square continuous periodically correlated with respect to time argument tRt\in\mathbb R and isotropic on the unit sphere Sn{S_n} with respect to spatial argument xSnx\in{S_n}. Estimates are based on observations of the field ζ(t,x)+θ(t,x)\zeta(t,x)+\theta(t,x) at points (t,x):t<0,xSn(t,x):t<0,x\in S_{n}, where θ(t,x)\theta(t,x) is an uncorrelated with ζ(t,x)\zeta(t,x) random field, which is mean-square continuous periodically correlated with respect to time argument tRt\in\mathbb R and isotropic on the sphere Sn{S_n} with respect to spatial argument xSnx\in{S_n}. Formulas for calculating the mean square errors and the spectral characteristics of the optimal linear estimate of functionals are derived in the case of spectral certainty where the spectral densities of the fields are exactly known. Formulas that determine the least favourable spectral densities and the minimax (robust) spectral characteristics are proposed in the case where the spectral densities are not exactly known while a class of admissible spectral densities is given.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.01933,
  title  = {Extrapolation Problem for Continuous Time Periodically Correlated Isotropic Random Fields},
  author = {Iryna Golichenko and Oleksandr Masyutka and Mykhailo Moklyachuk},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.01933},
  year   = {2025}
}
R2 v1 2026-07-01T07:19:58.448Z