English

Extinction thresholds in a graph-based model of HIV infection dynamics

Dynamical Systems 2026-07-31 v1 Combinatorics Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases

Abstract

We study a graph-based cellular automaton for HIV infection dynamics in lymph-node networks, originally introduced by Mukwembi. Each vertex represents a cell site that may be healthy, infected, or dead, and the evolution is controlled by a replacement parameter RR, which determines whether a dead cell is replaced by an infected or a healthy cell according to the number of its infected neighbors. For a graph GG, we introduce two extinction parameters. The parameter hiv(G)\mathbf{hiv}(G) is the smallest value of RR for which extinction occurs for every admissible initial configuration, whereas HIV(G)\mathbf{HIV}(G) is the smallest threshold such that extinction occurs for every replacement parameter greater than or equal to it. We prove the general bounds 2hiv(G)HIV(G)Δ(G)+12\leq \mathbf{hiv}(G)\leq \mathbf{HIV}(G)\leq \Delta(G)+1 and characterize the extremal case HIV(G)=Δ(G)+1\mathbf{HIV}(G)=\Delta(G)+1. We also show that the gap HIV(G)hiv(G)\mathbf{HIV}(G)-\mathbf{hiv}(G) is unbounded and determine both parameters for some classical families of graphs. Finally, we study the dynamics of the model using the state-transition digraph of the system and the configurations whose trajectories converge to nontrivial periodic orbits. The results show that extinction depends not only on the replacement parameter but also on the structural properties of the underlying graph.

Cite

@article{arxiv.2608.00340,
  title  = {Extinction thresholds in a graph-based model of HIV infection dynamics},
  author = {Manuel A. Espinosa-García and Ana Paulina Figueroa and Julián A. Fresán-Figueroa and Gerardo L. Maldonado and L. Ariadna Sánchez-Solís},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2608.00340},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

16 pages